HD-DVD vs. Blu-Ray Predictions - Update 2

A little over 18 months ago near the beginning of the HD-DVD vs. Blu-Ray format war I made a few predictions.  The original post is here.  I made an update once already about 12 months ago, that first update is here.  Most of the timelines for these predictions are now up so I can finalize them, there a few still outstanding though.

1. Microsoft will release a HD-DVD add-on for Xbox 360 for less than $200 (maybe as low as $100) by the time the PS3 launches in US. - The HD-DVD add-on was released within the same month as PS3. - TRUE
2. Microsoft will offer a bundle of Xbox 360 and HD-DVD player for the same or lower price as the PS3 in CY06. Microsoft will not however revise the Xbox 360 hardware to include a HD-DVD internally in CY06. - Never happened. - FALSE
3. HD-DVD stand alone players will outsell Blu-Ray stand alone players in calendar year 2006 in US. - Even extending this to today the end of CY07 this is still valid. - TRUE
4. PS3 and its built in Blu-Ray player will outsell the combined sales of HD-DVD and Blu-Ray standalone players world wide in CY06. - Also extending this one to the end of CY07 it is still valid - TRUE
5. There will be no dual format stand alone players available in CY06 in US. - The first dual format player the LG BH100 wasn't released until late Jan / early Feb 07. - TRUE
6. The first fully capable dual format player will be Windows Vista based Media Center boxes that include individual drives for each format. This will not happen in CY06 and may not even happen in 1H07. The machines may not be sold with both drives but will be easily upgradeable to add which ever drive did not ship in the original configuration. - Many MCE machines came out in early 2007 and may have just barely beat the BH100 out. - PUSH
7. All players sold by the beginning of CY07 will be 1080p output capable and support HDMI 1.3. - All players sold today are HDMI 1.3, however Toshiba still sells the HD-A3 which can only do 1080i. - PUSH
8. The war between these formats will not be resolved prior to Christmas 2007 and as a result sales will suffer for both. - Uh yep. - TRUE
9. Sometime in 2008 a winner will emerge or dual format players will become universal. Universal players never caught on for DVD-A and SACD however and look how those formats fared. - Still pending.
10. A prediction from my friend Jerry (that I have seen other places as well) - "Both camps will spend so much time fighting each other, that by the time a winner is decided, everyone will be downloading their movies over the internet." I however don't quite agree with this. Mostly because even using H.264 a 2 hour long 1080p file will be about 20 GB. The ability to download files of that size in a reasonable amount of time seems quite a distance away. - Still Pending.

Okay so there are 8 predictions that can be evaluated at this point, of those I got 1 wrong, 5 right and 2 pushes.  Not bad for 18 months ago.  Now to see what 2008 brings for the format war.